Wednesday, 30 November 2011

EU concern at Thailand lese majeste jail term

The EU has expressed "deep concern" at Thailand's jailing of a 61-year-old man for sending text messages deemed offensive to the royal family.

The texts were sent to an aide of Abhisit Vejjajiva, the former Thai prime minister

Europe's delegation in Thailand urged the authorities to make sure they upheld the rule of law.

Ampon Tangnoppakul was convicted of sending four messages last year to an official working for then Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva.

He denies the claims and says he does not know how to send a text.

The conviction sparked outrage among rights groups, with Amnesty International describing Ampon as a political prisoner.

The EU said in a statement that it wanted to reiterate the importance of "the rule of law, democracy and the respect for human rights".

"The EU urges the Thai authorities to ensure that the rule of law is applied in a non-discriminatory and proportional manner consistent with upholding basic human rights, including freedom of expression," the statement said.

Ampon was charged under the Computer Crimes Act and lese majeste law, which is designed to protect the monarchy.

Critics say both laws have been increasingly politicized and are curbing free speech in Thailand.

There have been widespread allegations that the law is being misused to settles scores and silence debate.

A number of foreigners have been convicted of the offense in recent years, but they are often quickly pardoned and deported from the country.

Some Thai academics and writers have fled the country for fear of being denounced.

In an ongoing high-profile case, the webmaster of a liberal news website is currently on trial accused of failing to remove allegedly offensive comments posted by readers quickly enough.

Appeal launched for flood pics

A host of photographers, both professional and amateur, captured the mayhem caused in various parts of the country by the ongoing floods, the most destructive in living memory. 

While some of these images have already been widely circulated online and in the media, many remarkable shots may have yet to be uploaded or developed.

A photo of the flooded Wat Chaiwattanaram taken by HRH Princess Maha Chakri Sirindhorn.

Last week, the Ministry of Culture issued an open invitation to members of the public to submit personal photos taken of the floods for possible display at an exhibition to be staged from December 8 to 30 on the 9th floor of Bangkok Art and Culture Centre (BACC), 

and from December 11 to 15 at the Phra Nakhon Si Ayutthaya Tourism Complex in the Old City Hall in Ayutthaya.

Entitled Water+Empathy 2011, the show is being organised in tandem with the Royal Photographic Society of Thailand, the BACC, Bangkok Metropolitan Administration and the Tourism Authority of Thailand. 

Its aim is three-fold: to amass a pictorial record of the national disaster; to highlight the indomitable spirit of Thai people as they coped with the floods and extended a helping hand to others who needed it;

and to raise funds to allow the Fine Arts Department to restore sites of historic significance which have been inundated.

HRH Princess Maha Chakri Sirindhorn will be contributing some pictures she took while touring flooded areas. Photographs chosen for the exhibition will also be displayed online (visit www.bigcamera.co.th/Water+Empathy2011)

Winning after the storm: Learnings from other disasters

As the flood crisis continues to dominate headlines here in Thailand, forward-looking companies are on the move to seek growth opportunities that will emerge in post-crisis business.

In this article, we examine reactions and post-crisis strategies of winning companies that have successfully weathered other disasters.

There are lessons to be learned from these strategies that can be adopted by companies in Thailand.

The current flood crisis has been called Thailand's worst, in terms of both water volume and the number of people affected.

Half of the country has been affected. Over 600 fatalities have been reported to date. Views of just how bad it is vary. Some estimate that the cost of direct damage is over 150 billion Baht ($5 billion). Other executives believe this estimate could be significantly understated.

By comparison, in the case of the crisis from the tsunami in Japan, direct damage resulting from the destruction of highways and buildings was around $120 billion to $300 billion. 

Secondary damage from rolling electricity blackouts, declines in production due to disrupted supply chains, and revenue losses has been estimated to add another $50 billion to $180 billion. The cost of more than 12,000 lives is immeasurable.

By comparison, the current Thai flood crisis is less extreme. But it is complex in its own way with potentially significant ripple effects on almost every socioeconomic class and multiple industries.

The impact of the flood on the Thai economy is likely to be both negative and positive. In the former, we have the immediate impact on production disruption, property loss, and insurance & banking losses. However, moving forward the clean-up may actually have stimulatory effects for two reasons.

Firstly, demand for lower skilled labour and all the compensation paid are likely to have an immediate stimulatory impact. Secondly, investments made in infrastructure and potential changes to trade tariffs/policies to encourage foreign investors to stay may offer the potential to change the growth trajectory of the economy in the long run.

The question then is how companies _ big and small _ can take advantage of the situation.

We have observed that in the wake of Japan's tsunami disaster, forward-looking companies in Japan moved meticulously through their emergency backup plans and returned to business quickly.

At the same time, they actively sought growth opportunities presented by the post-crisis business environment. Several common themes emerged:

- Create a separate disaster-management team Managers will be fully occupied addressing day-to-day business operations in the aftermath of the crisis. 

So it is critical that companies set up a separate disaster-management team _ similar to a project management office _ to focus on business recovery and communications. 

Communicating frequently clearly and often to all stakeholders, employees and customers is also a critical role that this team should play. Companies in Thailand can get ahead by setting up such team while waiting for water to subside.

- Segment businesses and products according to risk and opportunity Of course, some lines of business will be negatively affected by the flood. But the impact on others will be neutral, or even positive. 

For each business line, companies should develop an action plan that is based on both risk and future post-crisis outlook. This will allow companies to think through potential negative impacts and identify how to best seize opportunities.

Rethink current activities It is critical that companies analyse how the disaster may change demand and consumption patterns, or otherwise alter the business landscape. 

This analysis must be done holistically, by looking not only at the immediate supply chain but also several steps away from the immediate goods. 

For example, automakers should consider the supply and price of steel post-flood, given that there will likely be an increase in construction activities to rebuild and recover affected areas.

Identify and position to capture business opportunities In addition to taking defensive measures, smart companies also went on the offensive and sought new opportunities for growth. 

Certain businesses _ for example, those focusing on infrastructure investment or consumer products that address home, convenience, or safety concerns _ can expect to expand in the wake of a disaster. 

On the consumer side, Japanese consumers modified their daily routines in response to the increased stress they faced. They engaged more frequently in activities such as "cocooning" at home and reading. 

They also scaled back on other activities _ most notably, making purchases related to travel, real estate, automobiles, and other durable goods. 

Thinking through probable changes to consumer behaviour will likely identify new business opportunities.

When companies seize these opportunities, more winners will emerge after the storm.

In our next few articles, we will discuss how government and businesses can respond to the crisis. We will cover concrete ideas for how companies can turn the crisis into real business opportunities, as well as potential government responses _ short- and long-term measures.

UTCC: Q1 growth hinges on post-flood measures

Experts believe the government should revamp the economy in next year's first quarter to avoid any severe effects on employment figures.

Thanavath Phonvichai, director of the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce's Economic and Business Forecasting Center, yesterday said the country's economic growth will depend largely on the success of government rehabilitation measures.

If they fail, unemployment could reach 1.7%, he said.

Risk factors next year will include the fragile global economic situation stemming from the EU financial crisis, while the US and Asia may not expand at a satisfactory rate.

Dr Thanavath urged the government to help industries by alleviating economic burdens such as the oil prices and high interest rates.

He believes the central bank's Monetary Policy Committee will cut the key policy rate by 50 basis points to revive the economy by the end of the first quarter.

A centre survey of business entrepreneurs showed 74.4% of more than 700 respondents found their performances in the fourth quarter have been slower than in the same period last year in terms of both revenue and profits while costs have been rising.

The main factor affecting their businesses is the flood crisis, followed by oil prices and the global economy.

The centre reaffirmed its estimate that flood damage will shave 3.1 to 3.4 percentage points or almost 350 billion baht off the gross domestic product.

Damage will be 200 billion baht to the industrial sector, 80 billion to agriculture, 25 billion to tourism, 30 billion to trading and 6.7 billion to other sectors including transport and services.

However, taking into account damage of 500-700 billion baht to public and private assets and 100-200 billion baht to exports, the total estimate comes in at 1-1.2 trillion baht.

Sauwanee Thairungroj, the university's vice-president for research, said the government should also cover education expenses, as people will need money for home repairs after the floodwater recedes.

A recent survey showed home repairs would take up 23% of victims' household budgets. But the respondents said they need 80% of their budget for necessary items.

KBank eyes 25% of B150bn flood-recovery business loans

Kasikornbank (KBank) projects corporate loan demand for post-flood business recovery will amount to 150 billion baht next year, with itself lending 25% of the total.

The strong economic momentum will continue to provide greater business opportunities for corporate customers and financial services next year, says Mr Vasin. 

Vasin Vanichvoranun, an executive vice-president, said seven sectors are expected to seek major financial support for rehabilitation, including automobiles and auto parts, electronics and property.

So far 1,420 of KBank's large corporate customers affected by the crisis have asked for additional credit lines worth a combined 15 billion baht.

Mr Vasin said flood-hit customers will not increase non-performing loans thanks to KBank's relief package offerings, plus most are financially stable enough to continue servicing their debts.

The debt-to-equity ratio of the flood-affected customers is relatively low, in the range of 1.3 to 1.6 times.

As well, wholesale clients are expected to require 1.2 trillion baht next year for business recovery and domestic and international expansion, as well as debt repayment and refinancing.

KBank expects its share from all of these markets to increase to 25% from 22% now.

To this end, it has set a 2012 corporate loan growth target of 9% for next year based on next year's 4.3% growth projection for Thailand's gross domestic product.

"The strong economic momentum will continue to provide greater business opportunities for corporate customers and the bank's financial services next year, both locally and internationally," said Mr Vasin.

KBank, the country's third-largest institution by assets, has set a goal of nine merger and acquisition deals, 75 long-term loan agreements, 21 bond offering deals, five initial public offerings and 43 foreign business expansion contracts next year.

This will help to contribute to revenue growth of 20% from wholesale banking and 22% from fee-based income.

For the first nine months of this year, KBank booked corporate loan growth of 10% for a combined loan portfolio worth 353 billion baht.

Court finishes hearing Nonthaburi flood case

The Administrative Court yesterday finished its hearing on the case in which people from Nonthaburi complained about the negative impacts on their lives of flood relief measures.

The court will deliver its verdict to the complainants by phone or fax at a date yet to be determined.

The residents' group filed the complaint with the court last Wednesday against the government's Flood Relief Operations Command (Froc) and Bangkok Metropolitan Administration (BMA).

They said the Froc's decision to place flood barriers along Highway 340 and Kanchanaphisek Road to protect inner Bangkok and the BMA's refusal to open sluice gates to receive floodwater from Nonthaburi caused them hardship because the barriers and sluice gates prevented floodwater drainage.

Lead complainant Tossiri Poonnuan, 50, said although the floods were easing in Nonthaburi, her complaint was aimed at prompting authorities to solve floods for the general public without discriminating between people in different areas.

Chatchawal Panyawatheenant, deputy director-general of the Irrigation Department, who represented the Froc in the hearing yesterday, said big sandbags were placed only one some parts of Highway 340 and there were other channels to drain floodwater from Nonthaburi.

Feline feuding and feral fulminating

So much has been written about our Great Flood, and I'm sure you've seen, read about or watched it all  from the so-called culprits, the high drama and questionable media handling to talk of an ever-widening social divide and have been left feeling flabbergasted with, perhaps, a mouldy house into the bargain.

I really have nothing else to add to coverage of the water saga. It just feels like we're living in some bad American disaster movie, except that there are no real heroes to save the day. 

But during this time of dire need, so many interesting characters have popped up here and there and I've often been left scratching my head over some fine example of nonsensical human behaviour. 

Oh yes, I could try to be all Zen and pretend to understand why volunteers steal items donated for flood relief or why boat owners charge exorbitant prices. 

But, no, I refuse to sound above all that when I know, deep down in my heart, that behaviour like that is just not okay.

There are, after all, such things as straight-up right and wrong. To me, that much is clear.

Still, I have been rather entertained by certain individuals who've come under the spotlight during the course of the flooding. 

Dr Plodprasop Suraswadi quickly comes to mind for his antics and verbal vomit ("the opponent party was seen releasing crocodiles to scare people"). 

As does Bangkok's governor for the slowness of his reactions _ for the slowness of everything he did, in fact.

But nothing perplexed me more than the catfight between Karun "Keng" Hosakul, Phue Thai MP for Don Muang, and Mallika Boonmeetrakul, deputy spokesperson for the Democrat Party. 

As one of the most discussed and  I would go as far as to say  hated players on the current political scene, Karun is no stranger to newspaper front pages, and the social-media world is full of expressions of dismay about his antics plus rude insults and fervent wishes for his imminent demise.

It so happened that Karun and Mallika had a run-in during some flood-related event covered by the media. Choice words were exchanged, and the episode culminated with Mallika allegedly kicking Karun after he allegedly butted her out of his way. 

Recently, Karun appeared on the popular Woody Kerd Ma Kui talk show where he flatly denied various accounts of the encounter with Mallika and made excuses for rogue conduct he's been accused of, including kicking a fellow MP and tearing down a "big bag" barrier. 

Asked about the run-in with Mallika, he responded by suggesting that she might simply be trying to make herself famous by attaching her name to his.

That sparked a string of angry, misspelled tweets from Mallika and perhaps led to a few broken TV sets, too, as enraged viewers punched their screens out.

A colleague of mine thinks that if it were a rom-com flick, Karun and Mallika would eventually end up together. 

I couldn't help but get excited over the prospect of this pair as star-crossed lovers. Romeo-Karun and Juliet-Mallika, thou shalt not perish in the name of love. Or...

But what strikes me most about this back-and-forth is that Mallika has garnered a lot of support for her aggressive stance. So why do we condone such ugly retorts? 

While I do not care much for Mr Keng, I still think that both he and Mallika should be chastised and made to stand in separate corners. 

Mallika is a political figure very much in the public eye, but now she's foolishly trying to secure the closure of various social-network and video-sharing sites. 

She needs to mull over the childishness of her reactions and perhaps learn how to string proper sentences together on Twitter, as well. 

It was gutsy of her to deal out one blow after another to that man, considering Karun's reputation for strong-arm tactics, but  please  show a little more class! There's no need to stoop to someone else's level  or kick his behind in public.

As for Mr Karun, there have been too many stories about his violent conduct to recount them all here. He did get elected as an MP, though. It's hard for me to comprehend how someone with such a disturbing record could so easily waltz into Parliament. 

Is he such a good representative for Don Muang that his constituents are willing to overlook the accusations of spousal abuse and involvement in shady activity? 

An extra-marital affair never mind domestic violence  has been enough to bring down many politicians in other parts of the world. 

Is this the message we want to send out to our young people: that it's all right to be abusive and violent once you've accumulated enough money and power?

If we want cleaner, better functioning politicians who can improve our lives, then maybe we should start looking more closely at their character, moral code and ability to control their temper  in addition to elements like policies and past work record. 

If we stop electing ignorant thugs and supporting rambling idiots, then we might have a shot at the good life we've dreamed about for so long.

Here's hoping that Mr Karun doesn't come after me in a speeding jet ski with his horde of handlers, and that Ms Mallika will spare me from her mean, linguistically challenged tweets and internet witchhunt. 

I've got a mouldy house and a man-made bruised heart, and that's already more than I can handle.

Lum Luk Ka sluice gate row hots up Sukhumbhand says locals must obey law

Bangkok Governor Sukhumbhand Paribatra has refused to negotiate with Pathum Thani residents after they raised the Khlong Phraya Suren sluice gate to 1.5 metres again without permission.

The Lam Luk Ka sluice gate, with stagnant water on this side, floods running off on the other.

MR Sukhumbhand yesterday said he would negotiate only after the sluice gate was lowered back to 1m. He stressed that the law must be upheld in place of mob rule.

The governor made the statement after red shirt leaders in Pathum Thani demanded to meet him for talks on opening the sluice gate. 

The red shirt leaders included Sa-ngiam Samranrat, also a staff member of the Flood Relief Operations Command (Froc) and a political-office holder at the Prime Minister's Office, Wutthipong Kotthammakhun and Sornsak Malai.

The red shirt leaders led more than 200 residents from Pathum Thani's Lum Luk Ka district to raise the sluice gate to 1.5m on Monday night after the gate was lowered to 1m on the orders of the Bangkok governor.

On Sunday night, a group of about 30 people, led by Pol Maj Sa-ngiam, cited an order by Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra and the Froc director Pracha Promnok, to lift the gate to 1.5m, prompting the governor to order the gate lowered. 

MR Sukhumbhand said he was unhappy that someone in authority at the PM's Office had tampered with the sluice gate without permission.

He was referred to Pol Maj Sa-ngiam, who led the Pathum Thani residents to lift the gate on the two occasions.

The governor said he would not bow to any pressure and would file a lawsuit against Pol Maj Sa-ngiam.

City Hall spokesman Wasan Meewong said the Bangkok Metropolitan Administration (BMA) would ask the Froc to try to control Pol Maj Sa-ngiam who led residents to lift the sluice gate.

Mr Wasan said City Hall would take strict measures to prevent the unauthorised lifting of sluice gates in Bangkok and raise the issue with the Froc to restrain their staff from doing so.

Mr Wasan said that Pol Maj Sa-ngiam is a staff member at the Froc and he has already repeated the unauthorised action with the gate twice.

If the Froc fails to control its staff, then this would encourage similar mob rule or copycat actions in other areas, Mr Wasan said.

However, Pol Maj Sa-ngiam said he had acted on behalf of people who had been affected by floods, and denied suggestions by City Hall that he had tried to misuse his authority to raise the sluice gate.

He said it was clear that the order by the prime minister had instructed the Bangkok governor to open the gate when the need arose to ease the suffering of flood victims.

Previously, Mr Wasan insisted that it was not an order but only a Froc request letter asking for the gate to be raised. City Hall had already turned down the request, saying that complying with it would cause flooding in many areas of the capital.

Royal Irrigation Department former deputy director-general Weera Wongsangnak, who chairs Froc's committee on water management, 

yesterday said that the group led by Pol Maj Sa-ngiam was not associated with either the Froc or the area representative who met with Pol Gen Pracha earlier .

The director of Thailand's National Disaster Warning Centre Somsak Khaosuwan yesterday said the overall situation in Bangkok is returning to normal and the Froc would continue with the dismantling of big bag barriers.

He said about 140 big bag sandbags along the train tracks in Don Muang were removed on Monday and more were being taken away every day.